PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Nantes 0–2 Metz · Ligue 1

Nantes

DLWLW
0–2Historical match

Metz

LLDLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Metz won 0–2.

Shots
913
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.92.33
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Metz beat Nantes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Metz): shots 9–13, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.9–2.33, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metz have a visible away split

moderate

Metz's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.31 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season9.79 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.31 shots/match9.79 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Nantes have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1% ●PossessionNantes · Metz36.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantesMetzBaseline
Possession45.1%36.3%51.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsNantes 9 shots, Metz 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsNantes 2 shots, Metz 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG2.33 xGNantes 0.9 xG, Metz 2.33 xG
  • Possession47%53%Nantes 47%, Metz 53%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersNantes 10 corners, Metz 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls11 foulsNantes 7 fouls, Metz 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lamine Camara · Metz · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNathan Zeze · Nantes · 36′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Van Den Kerkhof · Metz · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDidier Lamkel Zé · Metz · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Metz · 60′ · 0.03 xG · goalFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 78′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDanley Jean Jacques · Metz · 54′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTino Kadewere · Nantes · 79′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFali Candé · Metz · 56′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Metz · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDanley Jean Jacques · Metz · 44′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDidier Lamkel Zé · Metz · 23′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatthieu Udol · Metz · 55′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDanley Jean Jacques · Metz · 52′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · Metz · 86′ · 0.48 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 29′ · 0.49 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 58′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.93 xG. Metz: 13 shots, 4 on target, 2.33 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Georges Mikautadze · Metz · 58′Matthieu Udol · Metz · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.93 xG · Metz 2.33 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
1Draws
1Metz
Metz — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Metz — Nantes · Ligue 10–0
Nantes — Metz · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Metz in 0 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes24 matchesMetz24 matches
0.96 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.88 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed24/241.54 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/240.91 xG/match
11.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/249.79 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.33 shots/match
45.1% ●Possession24/2436.3%
5.08 corners/match ●Corners24/243.88 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesMetz
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headNantes — Metz
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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