PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Metz 2–5 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Metz

LLWWL
2–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 2–5.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
2.172.42
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Metz 5–2. Recorded in this match (Metz – AS Monaco): shots 13–17, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 2.17–2.42, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Metz's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Metz's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

36.1%PossessionMetz · AS Monaco● 54%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricMetzAS MonacoBaseline
Possession36.1%54%51.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsMetz · AS Monaco15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMetzAS MonacoBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsMetz 13 shots, AS Monaco 17 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsMetz 7 shots, AS Monaco 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG2.42 xGMetz 2.17 xG, AS Monaco 2.42 xG
  • Possession36%64%Metz 36%, AS Monaco 64%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersMetz 5 corners, AS Monaco 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsMetz 8 fouls, AS Monaco 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Georges Mikautadze · Metz · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSoungoutou Magassa · AS Monaco · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArthur Atta · Metz · 7′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsmail Jakobs · AS Monaco · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFali Candé · Metz · 31′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLamine Camara · Metz · 47′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLamine Camara · Metz · 13′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYoussouf Fofana · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKoffi Kouao · Metz · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 34′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFali Candé · Metz · 60′ · 0.09 xG · on targetVanderson · AS Monaco · 3′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 4′ · 0.14 xG · goalVanderson · AS Monaco · 16′ · 0.15 xG · goalGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 64′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 76′ · 0.21 xG · goalGeorges Mikautadze · Metz · 13′ · 0.30 xG · on targetWissam Ben Yedder · AS Monaco · 77′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 10′ · 0.42 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.63 xG · goalIbou Sane · Metz · 84′ · 0.70 xG · goalPapa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 78′ · 0.72 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Metz: 13 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG. AS Monaco: 17 shots, 7 on target, 2.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Papa Amadou Diallo · Metz · 78′Ibou Sane · Metz · 84′Takumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 4′Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 10′Vanderson · AS Monaco · 16′Folarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 76′Folarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 87′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Metz 2.19 xG · AS Monaco 2.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Metz
0Draws
3AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Metz · Ligue 12–1
Metz — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Metz · Ligue 14–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Metz favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Metz27 matchesAS Monaco27 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.93 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.41 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.56 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.44 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 6.19 shots/match
36.1%Possession27/27● 54%
4.07 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.7 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMetzAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headMetz — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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