Ligue 1 · 2023

Lorient 0–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

Lorient

WLWLD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 0–1.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.040.49
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Lorient 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lorient – Stade Brestois): shots 11–10, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.04–0.49, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lorient's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lorient's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lorient show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lorient's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.56 shots/match ▲ShotsLorient · Stade Brestois14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLorientStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots9.56 shots/match14 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against15.9 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsLorient 11 shots, Stade Brestois 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLorient 5 shots, Stade Brestois 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG0.49 xGLorient 1.04 xG, Stade Brestois 0.49 xG
  • Possession55%45%Lorient 55%, Stade Brestois 45%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersLorient 6 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls18 foulsLorient 10 fouls, Stade Brestois 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Badredine Bouanani · Lorient · 49′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 84′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLilian Brassier · Stade Brestois · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedImrân Louza · Lorient · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSouleymane Isaak Touré · Lorient · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJérémy Le Douaron · Stade Brestois · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPanos Katseris · Lorient · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBrendan Chardonnet · Stade Brestois · 36′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedNathaniel Adjei · Lorient · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJulien Ponceau · Lorient · 42′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRomain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 86′ · 0.12 xG · goalDarlin Yongwa · Lorient · 90′ · 0.17 xG · on targetMohamed Bamba · Lorient · 10′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBadredine Bouanani · Lorient · 20′ · 0.23 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lorient: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.03 xG. Stade Brestois: 10 shots, 1 on target, 0.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Romain Del Castillo · Stade Brestois · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lorient 1.03 xG · Stade Brestois 0.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Lorient
0Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 14–0
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 11–2
Stade Brestois — Lorient · Ligue 10–1
Lorient — Stade Brestois · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lorient favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lorient27 matchesStade Brestois27 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.85 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.74 goals/match
1 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.39 xG/match
9.56 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 14 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target26/27▲ 5.04 shots/match
46.2%Possession27/27● 52.9%
3.67 corners/matchCorners27/27● 4.33 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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