Ligue 1 · 2023

Nice 1–2 Nantes · Ligue 1

Nice

LDLLW
1–2Historical match

Nantes

LWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes won 1–2.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.311.69
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes beat Nice 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – Nantes): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.31–1.69, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · Nantes11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceNantesBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.7 corners/match ●CornersNice · Nantes5.07 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricNiceNantesBaseline
Corners5.7 corners/match5.07 corners/match4.61 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsNice 12 shots, Nantes 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsNice 3 shots, Nantes 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.31 xG1.69 xGNice 1.31 xG, Nantes 1.69 xG
  • Possession57%43%Nice 57%, Nantes 43%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersNice 9 corners, Nantes 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls19 foulsNice 7 fouls, Nantes 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Melvin Bard · Nice · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Claude-Maurice · Nice · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 18′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Lotomba · Nice · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAliou Balde · Nice · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 19′ · 0.05 xG · goalKelvin Amian · Nantes · 68′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAntoine Mendy · Nice · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 48′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMarcin Bułka · Nice · 90′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Sissoko · Nantes · 72′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Sissoko · Nantes · 65′ · 0.24 xG · on targetTerem Moffi · Nice · 72′ · 0.82 xG · goalMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 77′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.35 xG. Nantes: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.72 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Terem Moffi · Nice · 72′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 19′Mostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 1.35 xG · Nantes 1.72 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
2Draws
1Nantes
Nantes — Nice · Ligue 11–0
Nantes — Nice · Ligue 12–2
Nice — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nice — Nantes · Ligue 12–1
Nantes — Nice · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice27 matchesNantes27 matches
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.96 goals/match
0.81 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.56 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.15 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots27/2711.5 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274 shots/match
53.4% ●Possession27/2745.7%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners27/275.07 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 31 Mar 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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