Ligue 1 · 2023

Nantes 1–3 Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 1

Nantes

WLLLW
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 1–3.

Shots
1419
Shots on target
610
Expected goals
1.252.57
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Nantes 3–1. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Olympique Lyonnais): shots 14–19, shots on target 6–10, expected goals 1.25–2.57, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots19 shotsNantes 14 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 19 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots10 shotsNantes 6 shots, Olympique Lyonnais 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG2.57 xGNantes 1.25 xG, Olympique Lyonnais 2.57 xG
  • Possession41%59%Nantes 41%, Olympique Lyonnais 59%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersNantes 5 corners, Olympique Lyonnais 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsNantes 8 fouls, Olympique Lyonnais 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 58′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 68′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 16′ · 0.03 xG · goalNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 26′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 79′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 85′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 59′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSaïd Benrahma · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 77′ · 0.08 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 1′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 3′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 67′ · 0.09 xG · on targetNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 36′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedErnest Nuamah · Olympique Lyonnais · 47′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 47′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′ · 0.20 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 14′ · 0.25 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′ · 0.30 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 47′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 83′ · 0.32 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 21′ · 0.37 xG · on targetGift Orban · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.49 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 14 shots, 6 on target, 1.24 xG. Olympique Lyonnais: 19 shots, 10 on target, 2.67 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 16′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′Malick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 77′Gift Orban · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 1.24 xG · Olympique Lyonnais 2.67 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantes
2Draws
3Olympique Lyonnais
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Nantes · Ligue 13–2
Nantes — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique Lyonnais in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes28 matchesOlympique Lyonnais28 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.43 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 13 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 5 shots/match
45.6%Possession28/28● 52.1%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners28/284.64 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Apr 2024, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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