Ligue 1 · 2023

Montpellier 1–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

1–1Historical match

Nantes

LWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Montpellier and Nantes drew 1–1.

Shots
815
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.811.35
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Montpellier and Nantes drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Montpellier – Nantes): shots 8–15, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.81–1.35, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Montpellier's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Montpellier's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Montpellier have a visible home split

moderate

Montpellier's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsMontpellier 8 shots, Nantes 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsMontpellier 1 shot, Nantes 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG1.35 xGMontpellier 0.81 xG, Nantes 1.35 xG
  • Possession54%46%Montpellier 54%, Nantes 46%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersMontpellier 3 corners, Nantes 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsMontpellier 11 fouls, Nantes 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Nicolas Cozza · Nantes · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTeji Savanier · Montpellier · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEray Cömert · Nantes · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedModibo Sagnan · Montpellier · 33′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 41′ · 0.05 xG · on targetFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBećir Omeragić · Montpellier · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Nordin · Montpellier · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Pallois · Nantes · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 45′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAkor Adams · Montpellier · 17′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 68′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Moutoussamy · Nantes · 81′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 7′ · 0.31 xG · goalAkor Adams · Montpellier · 2′ · 0.43 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Montpellier: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.82 xG. Nantes: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.41 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Akor Adams · Montpellier · 2′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Montpellier 0.82 xG · Nantes 1.41 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Montpellier
0Draws
3Nantes
Nantes — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Montpellier · Ligue 10–3
Montpellier — Nantes · Ligue 10–3
Nantes — Montpellier · Ligue 12–0
Montpellier — Nantes · Ligue 12–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Montpellier favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Montpellier31 matchesNantes31 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/310.94 goals/match
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals allowed31/311.58 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals31/311.12 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.5 shots/match
5.1 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/314.1 shots/match
44.5%Possession31/31● 45.9%
4.35 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.1 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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