PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Nantes 0–3 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

Nantes

LLWLW
0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 0–3.

Shots
614
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.182.37
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Nantes 3–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Stade Rennais): shots 6–14, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.18–2.37, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Rennais's recent record differs from the season

weak

Stade Rennais's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.47 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots14 shotsNantes 6 shots, Stade Rennais 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsNantes 4 shots, Stade Rennais 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.18 xG2.37 xGNantes 0.18 xG, Stade Rennais 2.37 xG
  • Possession44%56%Nantes 44%, Stade Rennais 56%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersNantes 3 corners, Stade Rennais 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsNantes 16 fouls, Stade Rennais 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Baptiste Santamaria · Stade Rennais · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 31′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Mollet · Nantes · 11′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChristopher Wooh · Stade Rennais · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Coco · Nantes · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Stade Rennais · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAzor Matusiwa · Stade Rennais · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLudovic Blas · Stade Rennais · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBertuğ Yıldırım · Stade Rennais · 82′ · 0.09 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 53′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 67′ · 0.33 xG · goalAmine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.68 xG · goalBenjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 76′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.16 xG. Stade Rennais: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Arnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 67′Benjamin Bourigeaud · Stade Rennais · 76′Amine Gouiri · Stade Rennais · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.16 xG · Stade Rennais 2.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Nantes
0Draws
4Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–1
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–1
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 13–0
Nantes — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1
Stade Rennais — Nantes · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes30 matchesStade Rennais30 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 1.51 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 4.73 shots/match
45.9%Possession30/30● 51.4%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners30/304.57 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls30/3012.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 20 Apr 2024, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headNantes — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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