Ligue 1 · 2023

RC Strasbourg 1–3 Nice · Ligue 1

1–3Historical match

Nice

WLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 1–3.

Shots
138
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.61.56
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat RC Strasbourg 3–1. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Nice): shots 13–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.6–1.56, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nice's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.16 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.16 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Nice.

7 days ▲Rest daysRC Strasbourg · Nice3.75 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRC StrasbourgNiceBaseline
Rest days7 days3.75 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

RC Strasbourg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

RC Strasbourg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Strasbourg · Nice13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC StrasbourgNiceBaseline
Shots11 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsRC Strasbourg 13 shots, Nice 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsRC Strasbourg 5 shots, Nice 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG1.56 xGRC Strasbourg 0.6 xG, Nice 1.56 xG
  • Possession47%53%RC Strasbourg 47%, Nice 53%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersRC Strasbourg 2 corners, Nice 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls14 foulsRC Strasbourg 11 fouls, Nice 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 15′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 87′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoïse Sahi Dion · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 4′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 18′ · 0.04 xG · on targetIbrahima Sissoko · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Senaya · RC Strasbourg · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJérémie Boga · Nice · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDante · Nice · 52′ · 0.07 xG · goalHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 35′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 9′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 18′ · 0.22 xG · goalMorgan Sanson · Nice · 84′ · 0.35 xG · goalEvann Guessand · Nice · 44′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 13 shots, 5 on target, 0.63 xG. Nice: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Dilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 18′Evann Guessand · Nice · 44′Dante · Nice · 52′Morgan Sanson · Nice · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 0.63 xG · Nice 1.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Strasbourg
2Draws
1Nice
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–0
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 10–0
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nice in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg31 matchesNice31 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 0.81 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.5 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots31/31▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.68 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 4.68 shots/match
43%Possession31/31● 53.1%
3.55 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.35 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3111.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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