Ligue 1 · 2023

Le Havre 3–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 3–1.

Shots
155
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.841.02
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat RC Strasbourg 3–1. Recorded in this match (Le Havre – RC Strasbourg): shots 15–5, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.84–1.02, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.03 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.03 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Le Havre have a visible home split

moderate

Le Havre's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots5 shotsLe Havre 15 shots, RC Strasbourg 5 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsLe Havre 7 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG1.02 xGLe Havre 1.84 xG, RC Strasbourg 1.02 xG
  • Possession39%61%Le Havre 39%, RC Strasbourg 61%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersLe Havre 3 corners, RC Strasbourg 2 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls13 foulsLe Havre 6 fouls, RC Strasbourg 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

André Ayew · Le Havre · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 6′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmmanuel Sabbi · Le Havre · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYoann Salmier · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.06 xG · goalJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDilane Bakwa · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFrédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 86′ · 0.12 xG · goalGautier Lloris · Le Havre · 12′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 24′ · 0.17 xG · goalChristopher Operi · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.20 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 28′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 58′ · 0.40 xG · on targetYassine Kechta · Le Havre · 65′ · 0.45 xG · goalAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 71′ · 0.52 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Le Havre: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.02 xG. RC Strasbourg: 5 shots, 2 on target, 1.00 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Yassine Kechta · Le Havre · 24′Yassine Kechta · Le Havre · 65′André Ayew · Le Havre · 90′Frédéric Guilbert · RC Strasbourg · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Le Havre 2.02 xG · RC Strasbourg 1.00 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Le Havre
0Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Le Havre favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Le Havre32 matchesRC Strasbourg32 matches
1.03 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.47 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.25 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots32/3210.8 shots/match
3.59 shots/matchShots on target32/323.66 shots/match
44.7% ●Possession32/3243.6%
3.81 corners/match ●Corners32/323.5 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 May 2024, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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