PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Rennais 4–5 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

4–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois won 4–5.

Shots
2110
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.672.04
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois beat Stade Rennais 5–4. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Stade Brestois): shots 21–10, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.67–2.04, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots10 shotsStade Rennais 21 shots, Stade Brestois 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsStade Rennais 7 shots, Stade Brestois 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.67 xG2.04 xGStade Rennais 2.67 xG, Stade Brestois 2.04 xG
  • Possession47%53%Stade Rennais 47%, Stade Brestois 53%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersStade Rennais 7 corners, Stade Brestois 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsStade Rennais 14 fouls, Stade Brestois 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Stade Rennais
2Draws
0Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–2
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1
Stade Rennais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–0
Stade Brestois — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 7 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais31 matchesStade Brestois31 matches
1.55 goals/matchGoals scored31/311.58 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.48 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots31/3114.5 shots/match
4.81 shots/matchShots on target31/31▲ 5.19 shots/match
51.3%Possession31/31● 53.3%
4.65 corners/match ●Corners31/314.61 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls31/3112.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 19:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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