PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2023

Stade Brestois 0–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

0–0Historical match

Nantes

WLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Stade Brestois and Nantes drew 0–0.

Shots
99
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.491.6
Possession
72%28%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Brestois and Nantes drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Brestois – Nantes): shots 9–9, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.49–1.6, possession 72%–28%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.53 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Brestois · Nantes11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisNantesBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Stade Brestois have recorded the higher season possession share.

53.9% ●PossessionStade Brestois · Nantes45.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade BrestoisNantesBaseline
Possession53.9%45.3%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots9 shotsStade Brestois 9 shots, Nantes 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotStade Brestois 2 shots, Nantes 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.49 xG1.6 xGStade Brestois 0.49 xG, Nantes 1.6 xG
  • Possession72%28%Stade Brestois 72%, Nantes 28%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersStade Brestois 6 corners, Nantes 0 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsStade Brestois 7 fouls, Nantes 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 64′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBradley Locko · Stade Brestois · 9′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNicolas Pallois · Nantes · 23′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTino Kadewere · Nantes · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 36′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · Stade Brestois · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 44′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 42′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 40′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedTino Kadewere · Nantes · 84′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 42′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Brestois: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.48 xG. Nantes: 9 shots, 1 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Brestois 0.48 xG · Nantes 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Stade Brestois
1Draws
2Nantes
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–2
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–1
Stade Brestois — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Stade Brestois · Ligue 13–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Brestois favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Brestois32 matchesNantes32 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.91 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.53 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.14 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots32/3211.4 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession32/3245.3%
4.66 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.94 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 May 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade BrestoisNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2023/24
Head-to-headStade Brestois — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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