PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nice 2–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Nice

LWDDD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 2–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
1.630.4
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat AS Monaco 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – AS Monaco): shots 17–11, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 1.63–0.4, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nice's recent record differs from the season

weak

Nice's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match2 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.1 shots/match ▲ShotsNice · AS Monaco14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNiceAS MonacoBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match14.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match9.78 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.2%PossessionNice · AS Monaco● 58.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNiceAS MonacoBaseline
Possession48.2%58.1%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsNice 17 shots, AS Monaco 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsNice 9 shots, AS Monaco 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.4 xGNice 1.63 xG, AS Monaco 0.4 xG
  • Possession40%60%Nice 40%, AS Monaco 60%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersNice 6 corners, AS Monaco 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls11 foulsNice 16 fouls, AS Monaco 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ali Abdi · Nice · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThilo Kehrer · AS Monaco · 29′ · 0.03 xG · on targetWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMelvin Bard · Nice · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoise Bombito · Nice · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHicham Boudaoui · Nice · 81′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJérémie Boga · Nice · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 78′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJérémie Boga · Nice · 21′ · 0.07 xG · on targetEvann Guessand · Nice · 61′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetEvann Guessand · Nice · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalJérémie Boga · Nice · 27′ · 0.16 xG · on targetGaëtan Laborde · Nice · 71′ · 0.19 xG · goalBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 39′ · 0.21 xG · goalMohamed Ali Cho · Nice · 6′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedEvann Guessand · Nice · 56′ · 0.33 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nice: 17 shots, 9 on target, 1.60 xG. AS Monaco: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.47 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Evann Guessand · Nice · 45′Gaëtan Laborde · Nice · 71′Breel Embolo · AS Monaco · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nice 1.60 xG · AS Monaco 0.47 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
0Draws
3AS Monaco
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–3
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 10–1
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 10–3
Nice — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–1
AS Monaco — Nice · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice9 matchesAS Monaco9 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.67 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed9/9▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals9/9▲ 1.8 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14.9 shots/match
5.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/95.11 shots/match
48.2%Possession9/9● 58.1%
4.89 corners/matchCorners9/9● 5.78 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls9/912.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Oct 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNice — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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