PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nice 2–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Nice

DDWWD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nice won 2–1.

Shots
1510
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.120.32
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nice beat RC Strasbourg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Nice – RC Strasbourg): shots 15–10, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.12–0.32, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots10 shotsNice 15 shots, RC Strasbourg 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsNice 5 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.12 xG0.32 xGNice 2.12 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.32 xG
  • Possession54%46%Nice 54%, RC Strasbourg 46%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersNice 4 corners, RC Strasbourg 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls8 foulsNice 16 fouls, RC Strasbourg 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nice
2Draws
1RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 11–3
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 12–0
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 12–0
Nice — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–1
RC Strasbourg — Nice · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nice favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nice12 matchesRC Strasbourg12 matches
1.92 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121.75 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed12/122 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.48 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots12/1210.8 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target12/125.25 shots/match
47.3%Possession12/12● 48.6%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners12/124.25 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls12/1211.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNiceRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNice — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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