PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique de Marseille 2–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 2–1.

Shots
97
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.941.02
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat AS Monaco 2–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – AS Monaco): shots 9–7, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.94–1.02, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.23 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympique de Marseille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Olympique de Marseille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · AS Monaco13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleAS MonacoBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12 shots/match9.54 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsOlympique de Marseille 9 shots, AS Monaco 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsOlympique de Marseille 4 shots, AS Monaco 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG1.02 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.94 xG, AS Monaco 1.02 xG
  • Possession63%37%Olympique de Marseille 63%, AS Monaco 37%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersOlympique de Marseille 5 corners, AS Monaco 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsOlympique de Marseille 15 fouls, AS Monaco 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNeal Maupay · Olympique de Marseille · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Olympique de Marseille · 38′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 77′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedUlisses Garcia · Olympique de Marseille · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 41′ · 0.10 xG · goalFolarin Balogun · AS Monaco · 57′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 4′ · 0.25 xG · on targetDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.42 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 89′ · 0.82 xG · goalLuís Henrique · Olympique de Marseille · 53′ · 0.87 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 9 shots, 4 on target, 2.00 xG. AS Monaco: 7 shots, 4 on target, 1.02 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Luís Henrique · Olympique de Marseille · 53′Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 89′Aleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 41′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 2.00 xG · AS Monaco 1.02 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique de Marseille
2Draws
2AS Monaco
Olympique de Marseille — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 13–2
Olympique de Marseille — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–1
AS Monaco — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–3
Olympique de Marseille — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille13 matchesAS Monaco13 matches
2.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.69 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.94 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 13.9 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target13/135 shots/match
59.7% ●Possession13/1356.5%
3 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.85 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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