Ligue 1 · 2024

Toulouse 2–0 Auxerre · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

Auxerre

WDWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Toulouse won 2–0.

Shots
124
Shots on target
70
Expected goals
2.330.12
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Toulouse beat Auxerre 2–0. Recorded in this match (Toulouse – Auxerre): shots 12–4, shots on target 7–0, expected goals 2.33–0.12, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Toulouse's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Auxerre show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsToulouse · Auxerre11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricToulouseAuxerreBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against9.08 shots/match13 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots4 shotsToulouse 12 shots, Auxerre 4 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots0 shotsToulouse 7 shots, Auxerre 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.33 xG0.12 xGToulouse 2.33 xG, Auxerre 0.12 xG
  • Possession51%49%Toulouse 51%, Auxerre 49%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersToulouse 6 corners, Auxerre 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsToulouse 14 fouls, Auxerre 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yann Gboho · Toulouse · 51′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYann Gboho · Toulouse · 21′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRayan Raveloson · Auxerre · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua King · Toulouse · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAron Dønnum · Toulouse · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTheo Bair · Auxerre · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Ayé · Auxerre · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 8′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJoshua King · Toulouse · 32′ · 0.25 xG · goalZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 8′ · 0.27 xG · on targetZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 42′ · 0.27 xG · on targetYann Gboho · Toulouse · 90′ · 0.40 xG · on targetVincent Sierro · Toulouse · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Toulouse: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.36 xG. Auxerre: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Joshua King · Toulouse · 32′Vincent Sierro · Toulouse · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Toulouse 2.36 xG · Auxerre 0.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Toulouse
1Draws
0Auxerre
Toulouse — Auxerre · Ligue 11–1
Auxerre — Toulouse · Ligue 10–5

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Toulouse favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Auxerre in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Toulouse13 matchesAuxerre13 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.62 goals/match
1.51 xG/matchExpected goals13/131.44 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots13/1311.8 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.85 shots/match
45.7% ●Possession13/1344.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners13/133.77 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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