PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

AS Monaco 2–0 Toulouse · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 2–0.

Shots
196
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
3.230.51
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Toulouse 2–0. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Toulouse): shots 19–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 3.23–0.51, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Toulouse show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Toulouse's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Monaco · Toulouse11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoToulouseBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against9.29 shots/match9.79 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.6% ●PossessionAS Monaco · Toulouse45.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoToulouseBaseline
Possession56.6%45.4%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.4 fouls/matchFoulsAS Monaco · Toulouse14.3 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoToulouseBaseline
Fouls13.4 fouls/match14.3 fouls/match12.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots6 shotsAS Monaco 19 shots, Toulouse 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAS Monaco 5 shots, Toulouse 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.23 xG0.51 xGAS Monaco 3.23 xG, Toulouse 0.51 xG
  • Possession58%42%AS Monaco 58%, Toulouse 42%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersAS Monaco 2 corners, Toulouse 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsAS Monaco 15 fouls, Toulouse 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMiha Zajc · Toulouse · 89′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJoshua King · Toulouse · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Suazo · Toulouse · 86′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAleksandr Golovin · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 14′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Suazo · Toulouse · 60′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 27′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 40′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDjibril Sidibé · Toulouse · 26′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 13′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 78′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 3′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedZakaria Aboukhlal · Toulouse · 77′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.27 xG · goalGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 14′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 11′ · 0.39 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 50′ · 0.43 xG · goalGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 35′ · 0.51 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 19 shots, 5 on target, 3.25 xG. Toulouse: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Wilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 50′Breel Embolo · AS Monaco · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 3.25 xG · Toulouse 0.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AS Monaco
0Draws
2Toulouse
AS Monaco — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–2
AS Monaco — Toulouse · Ligue 11–2
Toulouse — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Toulouse in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco14 matchesToulouse14 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.14 goals/match
2.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.44 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.4 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/144 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession14/1445.4%
4.64 corners/matchCorners14/14● 4.86 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1414.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Dec 2024, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoToulouse
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Toulouse
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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