PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 2–2 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Nantes

LDWLD
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Nantes and AS Monaco drew 2–2.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.813.59
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

Nantes and AS Monaco drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Nantes – AS Monaco): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.81–3.59, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes have a visible home split

moderate

Nantes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

40.9%PossessionNantes · AS Monaco● 56.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricNantesAS MonacoBaseline
Possession40.9%56.7%48.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

weak

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsNantes 10 shots, AS Monaco 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsNantes 4 shots, AS Monaco 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.81 xG3.59 xGNantes 0.81 xG, AS Monaco 3.59 xG
  • Possession31%69%Nantes 31%, AS Monaco 69%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersNantes 3 corners, AS Monaco 11 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsNantes 17 fouls, AS Monaco 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Eliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSorba Thomas · Nantes · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVanderson · AS Monaco · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMoses Simon · Nantes · 11′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNathan Zeze · Nantes · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 56′ · 0.09 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 62′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 82′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Amian · Nantes · 47′ · 0.11 xG · goalMoses Simon · Nantes · 47′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 55′ · 0.13 xG · on targetBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 37′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMohammed Salisu · AS Monaco · 59′ · 0.22 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 12′ · 0.24 xG · goalWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 81′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 52′ · 0.26 xG · goalDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blockedBreel Embolo · AS Monaco · 81′ · 0.81 xG · on targetVanderson · AS Monaco · 73′ · 0.94 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.81 xG. AS Monaco: 15 shots, 7 on target, 3.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 12′Kelvin Amian · Nantes · 47′Breel Embolo · AS Monaco · 52′Mohammed Salisu · AS Monaco · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.81 xG · AS Monaco 3.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Nantes
3Draws
2AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 14–0
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–3
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 14–1
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes17 matchesAS Monaco17 matches
1.18 goals/matchGoals scored17/17▲ 1.65 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals17/17▲ 2.1 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 14.4 shots/match
4.06 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 5 shots/match
40.9%Possession17/17● 56.7%
4.53 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.76 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Jan 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNantes — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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