PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

AS Monaco 7–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

7–1Historical match

Nantes

DDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 7–1.

Shots
226
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
4.441.18
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Nantes 7–1. Recorded in this match (AS Monaco – Nantes): shots 22–6, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 4.44–1.18, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match2 goals/match1.4 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Nantes's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAS Monaco · Nantes10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoNantesBaseline
Shots14.9 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AS Monaco have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.4% ●PossessionAS Monaco · Nantes40.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAS MonacoNantesBaseline
Possession56.4%40.8%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots6 shotsAS Monaco 22 shots, Nantes 6 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsAS Monaco 11 shots, Nantes 2 shots
  • Expected goals4.44 xG1.18 xGAS Monaco 4.44 xG, Nantes 1.18 xG
  • Possession65%35%AS Monaco 65%, Nantes 35%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerAS Monaco 9 corners, Nantes 1 corner
  • Fouls18 fouls9 foulsAS Monaco 18 fouls, Nantes 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 14′ · 0.02 xG · on targetTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 59′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMoatasem Al-Musrati · AS Monaco · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKelvin Amian · Nantes · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDenis Zakaria · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalMamadou Coulibaly · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 3′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 49′ · 0.12 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 4′ · 0.13 xG · goalMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 54′ · 0.13 xG · goalMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 18′ · 0.14 xG · on targetGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 33′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 44′ · 0.27 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 3′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 37′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 81′ · 0.60 xG · goalMatthis Abline · Nantes · 23′ · 0.61 xG · on targetMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 78′ · 0.64 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 64′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AS Monaco: 22 shots, 11 on target, 4.51 xG. Nantes: 6 shots, 2 on target, 1.40 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

02.550′HT90′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 44′Takumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 45′Eliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 49′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 54′Mika Biereth · AS Monaco · 64′George Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 81′George Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 90′Matthis Abline · Nantes · 4′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AS Monaco 4.51 xG · Nantes 1.40 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AS Monaco
3Draws
0Nantes
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 14–0
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 13–3
Nantes — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–2
AS Monaco — Nantes · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AS Monaco favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AS Monaco22 matchesNantes22 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.14 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.77 goals/match
2.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.13 xG/match
14.9 shots/match ▲Shots22/2210.6 shots/match
5.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224 shots/match
56.4% ●Possession22/2240.8%
5.23 corners/match ●Corners22/224.73 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Feb 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAS MonacoNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAS Monaco — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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