PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Lille 2–1 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

Lille

WLWLW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 2–1.

Shots
913
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.162.36
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat AS Monaco 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – AS Monaco): shots 9–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.16–2.36, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AS Monaco's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.2 goals/match1.96 goals/match1.36 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsLille 9 shots, AS Monaco 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsLille 6 shots, AS Monaco 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG2.36 xGLille 1.16 xG, AS Monaco 2.36 xG
  • Possession43%57%Lille 43%, AS Monaco 57%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersLille 1 corner, AS Monaco 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsLille 11 fouls, AS Monaco 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vanderson · AS Monaco · 60′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Lille · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMoatasem Al-Musrati · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.05 xG · on targetEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLamine Camara · AS Monaco · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMaghnes Akliouche · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 12′ · 0.10 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 22′ · 0.11 xG · goalHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 42′ · 0.12 xG · on targetNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 46′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedEliesse Ben Seghir · AS Monaco · 31′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedThomas Meunier · Lille · 54′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Singo · AS Monaco · 61′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 82′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMika Biereth · AS Monaco · 9′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Ilenikhena · AS Monaco · 86′ · 0.44 xG · on targetHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 43′ · 0.54 xG · goalTakumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 45′ · 0.64 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.20 xG. AS Monaco: 13 shots, 3 on target, 2.32 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 22′Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 43′Takumi Minamino · AS Monaco · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 1.20 xG · AS Monaco 2.32 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lille
2Draws
1AS Monaco
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 10–0
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 11–0
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 12–0
AS Monaco — Lille · Ligue 10–0
Lille — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille23 matchesAS Monaco23 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.96 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed23/231.35 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 2.23 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.8 shots/match
5.13 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 5.52 shots/match
58.2% ●Possession23/2356.4%
4.91 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.26 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Feb 2025, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLilleAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headLille — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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