PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Auxerre 3–0 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Auxerre

LDLDD
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Auxerre won 3–0.

Shots
98
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.960.66
Possession
21%79%

Full time

What the match recorded

Auxerre beat Olympique de Marseille 3–0. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Olympique de Marseille): shots 9–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.96–0.66, possession 21%–79%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Auxerre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Auxerre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.6%PossessionAuxerre · Olympique de Marseille● 63.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 22.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Possession41.6%63.8%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Auxerre show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Auxerre's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAuxerre · Olympique de Marseille14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAuxerreOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against12.9 shots/match10 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots8 shotsAuxerre 9 shots, Olympique de Marseille 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAuxerre 5 shots, Olympique de Marseille 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.66 xGAuxerre 1.96 xG, Olympique de Marseille 0.66 xG
  • Possession21%79%Auxerre 21%, Olympique de Marseille 79%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersAuxerre 2 corners, Olympique de Marseille 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsAuxerre 9 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Amine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 13′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdo Onaiwu · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGeoffrey Kondogbia · Olympique de Marseille · 80′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJubal · Auxerre · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Rowe · Olympique de Marseille · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeoffrey Kondogbia · Olympique de Marseille · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 34′ · 0.07 xG · goalTheo Bair · Auxerre · 48′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Osho · Auxerre · 39′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 66′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 49′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 80′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 66′ · 0.34 xG · on targetJubal · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.50 xG · goalJubal · Auxerre · 77′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 9 shots, 5 on target, 2.05 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 34′Jubal · Auxerre · 77′Jubal · Auxerre · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 2.05 xG · Olympique de Marseille 0.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Auxerre
0Draws
2Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Auxerre · Ligue 11–3
Olympique de Marseille — Auxerre · Ligue 12–1
Auxerre — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre23 matchesOlympique de Marseille23 matches
1.48 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.17 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.95 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 14.2 shots/match
4.7 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 6.09 shots/match
41.6%Possession23/23● 63.8%
3.57 corners/matchCorners23/23● 4.83 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls23/2311.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAuxerreOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAuxerre — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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