PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Auxerre 0–1 RC Strasbourg · Ligue 1

Auxerre

DLDDW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Strasbourg won 0–1.

Shots
146
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.240.95
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Strasbourg beat Auxerre 1–0. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – RC Strasbourg): shots 14–6, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.24–0.95, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Strasbourg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RC Strasbourg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.58 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots6 shotsAuxerre 14 shots, RC Strasbourg 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsAuxerre 5 shots, RC Strasbourg 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.95 xGAuxerre 2.24 xG, RC Strasbourg 0.95 xG
  • Possession45%55%Auxerre 45%, RC Strasbourg 55%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAuxerre 5 corners, RC Strasbourg 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsAuxerre 10 fouls, RC Strasbourg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elisha Owusu · Auxerre · 17′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Oppegård · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 60′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 70′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJubal · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKévin Danois · Auxerre · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAdo Onaiwu · Auxerre · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Osho · Auxerre · 87′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 33′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 46′ · 0.13 xG · on targetTheo Bair · Auxerre · 53′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDiego Moreira · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.23 xG · on targetMamadou Sarr · RC Strasbourg · 45′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedJubal · Auxerre · 62′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedFélix Lemaréchal · RC Strasbourg · 90′ · 0.29 xG · on targetTheo Bair · Auxerre · 27′ · 0.34 xG · on targetEmmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 47′ · 0.41 xG · goalLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 75′ · 0.91 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.31 xG. RC Strasbourg: 6 shots, 3 on target, 1.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Emmanuel Emegha · RC Strasbourg · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 2.31 xG · RC Strasbourg 1.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Auxerre
0Draws
2RC Strasbourg
RC Strasbourg — Auxerre · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — Auxerre · Ligue 12–0
Auxerre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · RC Strasbourg in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre24 matchesRC Strasbourg24 matches
1.42 goals/matchGoals scored24/24▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals24/23▲ 1.47 xG/match
11.4 shots/match ▲Shots24/2310.2 shots/match
4.71 shots/matchShots on target24/234.52 shots/match
41.7%Possession24/23● 48.9%
3.63 corners/matchCorners24/23● 3.74 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls24/2311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 20:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAuxerreRC Strasbourg
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAuxerre — RC Strasbourg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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