PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Stade Rennais 0–2 Lille · Ligue 1

0–2Historical match

Lille

DWLWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 0–2.

Shots
418
Shots on target
07
Expected goals
0.463.18
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Stade Rennais 2–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Lille): shots 4–18, shots on target 0–7, expected goals 0.46–3.18, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Stade Rennais show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Rennais's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsStade Rennais · Lille13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisLilleBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against10.9 shots/match9.64 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.4%PossessionStade Rennais · Lille● 58.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisLilleBaseline
Possession50.4%58.9%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots18 shotsStade Rennais 4 shots, Lille 18 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots7 shotsStade Rennais 0 shots, Lille 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG3.18 xGStade Rennais 0.46 xG, Lille 3.18 xG
  • Possession37%63%Stade Rennais 37%, Lille 63%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersStade Rennais 4 corners, Lille 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls18 foulsStade Rennais 9 fouls, Lille 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thomas Meunier · Lille · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Lille · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Lille · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBafodé Diakité · Lille · 8′ · 0.07 xG · on targetArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 24′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Lille · 12′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Lille · 69′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Lille · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLilian Brassier · Stade Rennais · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedBafodé Diakité · Lille · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNgal'ayel Mukau · Lille · 40′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedChuba Akpom · Lille · 83′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Lille · 51′ · 0.24 xG · on targetChuba Akpom · Lille · 80′ · 0.24 xG · on targetChuba Akpom · Lille · 86′ · 0.30 xG · goalNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 80′ · 0.60 xG · goalChuba Akpom · Lille · 44′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Stade Rennais: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.43 xG. Lille: 18 shots, 7 on target, 3.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Nabil Bentaleb · Lille · 80′Chuba Akpom · Lille · 86′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Stade Rennais 0.43 xG · Lille 3.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Stade Rennais
3Draws
2Lille
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 12–2
Stade Rennais — Lille · Ligue 11–3
Lille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais22 matchesLille22 matches
1.32 goals/matchGoals scored22/22▲ 1.64 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1 goal/match
1.34 xG/matchExpected goals22/22▲ 1.77 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots22/22▲ 13.3 shots/match
4.68 shots/matchShots on target22/22▲ 5.09 shots/match
50.4%Possession22/22● 58.9%
5 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.09 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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