PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique Lyonnais 2–3 Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 1

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 2–3.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
78
Expected goals
1.782.46
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Olympique Lyonnais 3–2. Recorded in this match (Olympique Lyonnais – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 14–15, shots on target 7–8, expected goals 1.78–2.46, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique Lyonnais · Paris Saint-Germain18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique LyonnaisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match18.2 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against13.3 shots/match9.39 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.7 corners/matchCornersOlympique Lyonnais · Paris Saint-Germain● 6.48 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricOlympique LyonnaisParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Corners5.7 corners/match6.48 corners/match4.63 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 14 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots8 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG2.46 xGOlympique Lyonnais 1.78 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.46 xG
  • Possession35%65%Olympique Lyonnais 35%, Paris Saint-Germain 65%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersOlympique Lyonnais 5 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 12 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Désiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDésiré Doué · Paris Saint-Germain · 41′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 46′ · 0.02 xG · on targetThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKang-in Lee · Paris Saint-Germain · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNicolás Tagliafico · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSaël Kumbedi · Olympique Lyonnais · 29′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 35′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 62′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 46′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 59′ · 0.08 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 69′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 89′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′ · 0.11 xG · goalAinsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 80′ · 0.11 xG · on targetAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′ · 0.11 xG · goalKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Paris Saint-Germain · 26′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedAinsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 89′ · 0.22 xG · on targetRayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 83′ · 0.48 xG · goalCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′ · 0.51 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 26′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 13′ · 0.87 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 14 shots, 7 on target, 1.83 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 15 shots, 8 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Rayan Cherki · Olympique Lyonnais · 83′Corentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 90′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 53′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 59′Achraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 1.83 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.35 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique Lyonnais
0Draws
4Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 13–1
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 14–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–4
Paris Saint-Germain — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 10–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 10–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais23 matchesParis Saint-Germain23 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 2.7 goals/match
1.3 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.74 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 2.61 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots23/23▲ 18.2 shots/match
5.43 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 8.3 shots/match
55%Possession23/23● 68.9%
5.7 corners/matchCorners23/23● 6.48 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls23/239.04 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Feb 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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