PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique Lyonnais 2–1 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique Lyonnais won 2–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.392
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique Lyonnais beat Stade Brestois 2–1. Recorded in this match (Olympique Lyonnais – Stade Brestois): shots 10–15, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.39–2, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique Lyonnais's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique Lyonnais's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.83 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 10 shots, Stade Brestois 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsOlympique Lyonnais 4 shots, Stade Brestois 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG2 xGOlympique Lyonnais 1.39 xG, Stade Brestois 2 xG
  • Possession66%34%Olympique Lyonnais 66%, Stade Brestois 34%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersOlympique Lyonnais 2 corners, Stade Brestois 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsOlympique Lyonnais 16 fouls, Stade Brestois 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ainsley Maitland-Niles · Olympique Lyonnais · 65′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 67′ · 0.01 xG · on targetThiago Almada · Olympique Lyonnais · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCorentin Tolisso · Olympique Lyonnais · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 89′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPierre Lees Melou · Stade Brestois · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 44′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 53′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJonas Martin · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTanner Tessmann · Olympique Lyonnais · 60′ · 0.07 xG · on targetGeorges Mikautadze · Olympique Lyonnais · 75′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 77′ · 0.09 xG · on targetKamory Doumbia · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 31′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMalick Fofana · Olympique Lyonnais · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMathias Pereira Lage · Stade Brestois · 6′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 19′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 24′ · 0.34 xG · goalAlexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′ · 0.58 xG · goalKenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 15′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique Lyonnais: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.33 xG. Stade Brestois: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.04 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 24′Alexandre Lacazette · Olympique Lyonnais · 82′Kenny Lala · Stade Brestois · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique Lyonnais 1.33 xG · Stade Brestois 2.04 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Olympique Lyonnais
1Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–1
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 14–3
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 11–0
Olympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois · Ligue 10–0
Stade Brestois — Olympique Lyonnais · Ligue 12–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique Lyonnais favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique Lyonnais24 matchesStade Brestois24 matches
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.5 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.67 goals/match
1.72 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/231.31 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots24/2312.3 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/234.96 shots/match
55.5% ●Possession24/2348.2%
5.54 corners/match ●Corners24/234.13 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2312.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique LyonnaisStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique Lyonnais — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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