Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Lens 3–4 Le Havre · Ligue 1

RC Lens

WWLLL
3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 3–4.

Shots
208
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.881.44
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat RC Lens 4–3. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Le Havre): shots 20–8, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.88–1.44, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.39 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Le Havre9.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensLe HavreBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.91 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match15 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

RC Lens have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.2% ●PossessionRC Lens · Le Havre41.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRC LensLe HavreBaseline
Possession55.2%41.4%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsRC Lens 20 shots, Le Havre 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsRC Lens 7 shots, Le Havre 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.88 xG1.44 xGRC Lens 1.88 xG, Le Havre 1.44 xG
  • Possession69%31%RC Lens 69%, Le Havre 31%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersRC Lens 9 corners, Le Havre 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsRC Lens 12 fouls, Le Havre 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 10′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 30′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 30′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 4′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 28′ · 0.02 xG · goalAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntoine Joujou · Le Havre · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAnass Zaroury · RC Lens · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 87′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMahamadou Diawara · Le Havre · 36′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 19′ · 0.12 xG · goalFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 48′ · 0.12 xG · goalWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 66′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndré Ayew · Le Havre · 33′ · 0.13 xG · goalJonathan Gradit · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 45′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.32 xG · goalNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 3′ · 0.82 xG · goalAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 20 shots, 7 on target, 1.90 xG. Le Havre: 8 shots, 4 on target, 1.49 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Neil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 3′Ruben Aguilar · RC Lens · 19′Florian Sotoca · RC Lens · 48′Issa Soumaré · Le Havre · 28′André Ayew · Le Havre · 33′Josué Casimir · Le Havre · 62′Ahmed Hassan · Le Havre · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 1.90 xG · Le Havre 1.49 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RC Lens
2Draws
0Le Havre
Le Havre — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Le Havre · Ligue 11–1
Le Havre — RC Lens · Ligue 10–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens24 matchesLe Havre24 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.96 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/242.08 goals/match
1.61 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/231.15 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots24/239.91 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/233.09 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession24/2341.4%
5.92 corners/match ●Corners24/234.09 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls24/2311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Mar 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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