PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Olympique de Marseille 2–0 Nantes · Ligue 1

2–0Historical match

Nantes

DWLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympique de Marseille won 2–0.

Shots
218
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.150.88
Possession
75%25%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympique de Marseille beat Nantes 2–0. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Nantes): shots 21–8, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.15–0.88, possession 75%–25%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Olympique de Marseille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Olympique de Marseille's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

64.3% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Nantes39.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleNantesBaseline
Possession64.3%39.9%47.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Nantes have a visible away split

moderate

Nantes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.92 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.92 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsOlympique de Marseille 21 shots, Nantes 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsOlympique de Marseille 5 shots, Nantes 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.15 xG0.88 xGOlympique de Marseille 2.15 xG, Nantes 0.88 xG
  • Possession75%25%Olympique de Marseille 75%, Nantes 25%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersOlympique de Marseille 3 corners, Nantes 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsOlympique de Marseille 14 fouls, Nantes 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pol Lirola · Olympique de Marseille · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuís Henrique · Olympique de Marseille · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoses Simon · Nantes · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMeschak Elia · Nantes · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Olympique de Marseille · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Olympique de Marseille · 2′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 43′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Olympique de Marseille · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 14′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 81′ · 0.07 xG · on targetLouis Leroux · Nantes · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 69′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 57′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 72′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 17′ · 0.17 xG · on targetAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 57′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 49′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 77′ · 0.29 xG · goalLouis Leroux · Nantes · 63′ · 0.35 xG · on targetAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 73′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Olympique de Marseille: 21 shots, 5 on target, 2.10 xG. Nantes: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.80 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Amine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 73′Mason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 77′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Olympique de Marseille 2.10 xG · Nantes 0.80 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Olympique de Marseille
1Draws
0Nantes
Nantes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2
Olympique de Marseille — Nantes · Ligue 12–0
Nantes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 10–2
Olympique de Marseille — Nantes · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille24 matchesNantes24 matches
2.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.17 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.75 goals/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.26 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2410.8 shots/match
6.04 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/244.08 shots/match
64.3% ●Possession24/2439.9%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners24/244.5 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls24/2412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Mar 2025, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleNantes
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Nantes
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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