PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Lens 1–0 Stade Rennais · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LLLLW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–0.

Shots
912
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.750.59
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Stade Rennais 1–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Stade Rennais): shots 9–12, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.75–0.59, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots12 shotsRC Lens 9 shots, Stade Rennais 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRC Lens 4 shots, Stade Rennais 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.59 xGRC Lens 0.75 xG, Stade Rennais 0.59 xG
  • Possession45%55%RC Lens 45%, Stade Rennais 55%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersRC Lens 5 corners, Stade Rennais 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsRC Lens 17 fouls, Stade Rennais 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Djaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 42′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.02 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMikayil Faye · Stade Rennais · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJérémy Jacquet · Stade Rennais · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNampalys Mendy · RC Lens · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDjaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Stade Rennais · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAdrien Truffert · Stade Rennais · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDjaoui Cissé · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedM'bala Nzola · RC Lens · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArnaud Kalimuendo · Stade Rennais · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMikayil Faye · Stade Rennais · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.13 xG · goalLorenz Assignon · Stade Rennais · 70′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedWesley Saïd · RC Lens · 54′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.78 xG. Stade Rennais: 12 shots, 5 on target, 0.60 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Wesley Saïd · RC Lens · 47′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 0.78 xG · Stade Rennais 0.60 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
3Draws
0Stade Rennais
Stade Rennais — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — RC Lens · Ligue 11–1
RC Lens — Stade Rennais · Ligue 11–1
Stade Rennais — RC Lens · Ligue 10–1
RC Lens — Stade Rennais · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Rennais in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens26 matchesStade Rennais26 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.35 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.42 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.4 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲Shots26/2612.5 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.81 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession26/2650.3%
5.65 corners/match ●Corners26/265.04 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls26/2613.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Mar 2025, 00:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensStade Rennais
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Lens — Stade Rennais
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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