PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Saint Etienne 3–3 Stade Brestois · Ligue 1

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Saint Etienne and Stade Brestois drew 3–3.

Shots
913
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.71.53
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Saint-Étienne and Stade Brestois drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (Saint-Étienne – Stade Brestois): shots 9–13, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.7–1.53, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Stade Brestois's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Stade Brestois's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Saint-Étienne have a visible home split

moderate

Saint-Étienne's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.1 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Stade Brestois show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Stade Brestois's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsSaint-Étienne · Stade Brestois12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSaint-ÉtienneStade BrestoisBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against16.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsSaint Etienne 9 shots, Stade Brestois 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsSaint Etienne 4 shots, Stade Brestois 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.7 xG1.53 xGSaint Etienne 0.7 xG, Stade Brestois 1.53 xG
  • Possession60%40%Saint Etienne 60%, Stade Brestois 40%
  • Corners7 corners9 cornersSaint Etienne 7 corners, Stade Brestois 9 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls18 foulsSaint Etienne 21 fouls, Stade Brestois 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 20′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Bouchouari · Saint-Étienne · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 23′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPierre Ekwah · Saint-Étienne · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMickaël Nadé · Saint-Étienne · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre Ekwah · Saint-Étienne · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 22′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 15′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIrvin Cardona · Saint-Étienne · 34′ · 0.05 xG · goalLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 37′ · 0.05 xG · goalAbdoulaye Ndiaye · Stade Brestois · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHugo Magnetti · Stade Brestois · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMassadio Haïdara · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMahdi Camara · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLucas Stassin · Saint-Étienne · 16′ · 0.09 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 64′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMama Baldé · Stade Brestois · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLudovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 6′ · 0.38 xG · goalIrvin Cardona · Saint-Étienne · 80′ · 0.40 xG · goalAbdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 25′ · 0.46 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Saint-Étienne: 9 shots, 4 on target, 0.73 xG. Stade Brestois: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Lucas Stassin · Saint-Étienne · 16′Irvin Cardona · Saint-Étienne · 34′Irvin Cardona · Saint-Étienne · 80′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 6′Abdallah Sima · Stade Brestois · 25′Ludovic Ajorque · Stade Brestois · 37′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Saint-Étienne 0.73 xG · Stade Brestois 1.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Saint Etienne
0Draws
2Stade Brestois
Stade Brestois — Saint Etienne · Ligue 14–0
Saint Etienne — Stade Brestois · Ligue 12–1
Stade Brestois — Saint Etienne · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Saint Etienne favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Stade Brestois in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Saint Etienne29 matchesStade Brestois29 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.62 goals/match
2.31 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals29/28▲ 1.35 xG/match
10.2 shots/matchShots29/28▲ 12.5 shots/match
3.34 shots/matchShots on target29/28▲ 4.86 shots/match
46.6%Possession29/28● 48.5%
3.48 corners/matchCorners29/28● 4.25 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls29/2812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSaint EtienneStade Brestois
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headSaint Etienne — Stade Brestois
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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