PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Lens 1–0 Saint Etienne · Ligue 1

RC Lens

LLWWL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RC Lens won 1–0.

Shots
208
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.181.42
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

RC Lens beat Saint-Étienne 1–0. Recorded in this match (RC Lens – Saint-Étienne): shots 20–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.18–1.42, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RC Lens show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

RC Lens's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsRC Lens · Saint-Étienne10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRC LensSaint-ÉtienneBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against11 shots/match16.4 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Saint-Étienne have a visible away split

moderate

Saint-Étienne's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.47 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.47 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

RC Lens's recent record differs from the season

weak

RC Lens's last-five shots average is below their season average.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsRC Lens 20 shots, Saint Etienne 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsRC Lens 5 shots, Saint Etienne 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.18 xG1.42 xGRC Lens 2.18 xG, Saint Etienne 1.42 xG
  • Possession61%39%RC Lens 61%, Saint Etienne 39%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersRC Lens 6 corners, Saint Etienne 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls20 foulsRC Lens 14 fouls, Saint Etienne 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maxime Bernauer · Saint-Étienne · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYvann Maçon · Saint-Étienne · 8′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Sotoca · RC Lens · 47′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 65′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNeil El Aynaoui · RC Lens · 28′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAbdulay Juma Bah · RC Lens · 73′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLucas Stassin · Saint-Étienne · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHamzat Ojediran · RC Lens · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 41′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIbrahima Wadji · Saint-Étienne · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Tardieu · Saint-Étienne · 9′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 41′ · 0.12 xG · on targetZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 1′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedAndy Diouf · RC Lens · 27′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDeiver Machado · RC Lens · 70′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRuben Aguilar · RC Lens · 70′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedZuriko Davitashvili · Saint-Étienne · 1′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedFacundo Medina · RC Lens · 50′ · 0.29 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Thomasson · RC Lens · 29′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedGoduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 75′ · 0.34 xG · goalIrvin Cardona · Saint-Étienne · 45′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Lens: 20 shots, 5 on target, 2.15 xG. Saint-Étienne: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.50 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Goduine Koyalipou · RC Lens · 75′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Lens 2.15 xG · Saint-Étienne 1.50 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Lens
1Draws
0Saint Etienne
Saint Etienne — RC Lens · Ligue 10–2
Saint Etienne — RC Lens · Ligue 11–2
RC Lens — Saint Etienne · Ligue 12–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Lens favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Saint Etienne in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Lens28 matchesSaint Etienne28 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281 goal/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/282.29 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.09 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots28/2810.3 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/283.32 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession28/2846.1%
5.54 corners/match ●Corners28/283.36 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls28/2813.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC LensSaint Etienne
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Lens — Saint Etienne
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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