PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Angers 0–2 Lille · Ligue 1

Angers

LLLWL
0–2Historical match

Lille

LWLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille won 0–2.

Shots
69
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.721.43
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille beat Angers 2–0. Recorded in this match (Angers – Lille): shots 6–9, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.72–1.43, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Angers's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Angers's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.94 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.07 shots/match ▲ShotsAngers · Lille12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAngersLilleBaseline
Shots9.07 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.5 shots/match9.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Lille have recorded the higher season possession share.

41%PossessionAngers · Lille● 57.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAngersLilleBaseline
Possession41%57.8%47.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots9 shotsAngers 6 shots, Lille 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsAngers 3 shots, Lille 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.72 xG1.43 xGAngers 0.72 xG, Lille 1.43 xG
  • Possession37%63%Angers 37%, Lille 63%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAngers 7 corners, Lille 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls10 foulsAngers 17 fouls, Lille 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jonathan David · Lille · 48′ · 0.00 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 65′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJonathan David · Lille · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAlexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalHimad Abdelli · Angers · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 8′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 50′ · 0.16 xG · goalHakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 59′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Angers · 15′ · 0.27 xG · on targetHimad Abdelli · Angers · 4′ · 0.33 xG · on targetChuba Akpom · Lille · 23′ · 0.87 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Angers: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG. Lille: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Alexsandro Ribeiro · Lille · 45′Hakon Arnar Haraldsson · Lille · 50′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Angers 0.72 xG · Lille 1.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Angers
2Draws
2Lille
Lille — Angers · Ligue 12–0
Angers — Lille · Ligue 11–0
Lille — Angers · Ligue 11–0
Angers — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — Angers · Ligue 11–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Angers favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Lille in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Angers31 matchesLille31 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.58 goals/match
1.61 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals30/31▲ 1.64 xG/match
9.07 shots/matchShots30/31▲ 12.6 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target30/31▲ 5.1 shots/match
41%Possession30/31● 57.8%
3.63 corners/matchCorners30/31● 4.81 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls30/3112.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 27 Apr 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAngersLille
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headAngers — Lille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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