Ligue 1 · 2024

Lille 1–1 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

Lille

WLWWW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lille and Olympique de Marseille drew 1–1.

Shots
513
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.461.32
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lille and Olympique de Marseille drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lille – Olympique de Marseille): shots 5–13, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.46–1.32, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lille's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lille's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lille show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lille's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.3 shots/match ▲ShotsLille · Olympique de Marseille14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLilleOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Shots12.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against10 shots/match9.59 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots13 shotsLille 5 shots, Olympique de Marseille 13 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsLille 1 shot, Olympique de Marseille 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG1.32 xGLille 0.46 xG, Olympique de Marseille 1.32 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lille 40%, Olympique de Marseille 60%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersLille 2 corners, Olympique de Marseille 5 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls8 foulsLille 9 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Pierre-Emile Højbjerg · Olympique de Marseille · 6′ · 0.01 xG · on targetQuentin Merlin · Olympique de Marseille · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMitchel Bakker · Lille · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPierre-Emile Højbjerg · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJonathan David · Lille · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNabil Bentaleb · Lille · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMason Greenwood · Olympique de Marseille · 78′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJonathan Rowe · Olympique de Marseille · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin André · Lille · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAmir Murillo · Olympique de Marseille · 34′ · 0.08 xG · on targetLeonardo Balerdi · Olympique de Marseille · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Olympique de Marseille · 51′ · 0.21 xG · on targetMatías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 74′ · 0.30 xG · goalAmine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 57′ · 0.50 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lille: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.48 xG. Olympique de Marseille: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.27 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Matías Fernández-Pardo · Lille · 74′Amine Gouiri · Olympique de Marseille · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lille 0.48 xG · Olympique de Marseille 1.27 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lille
2Draws
1Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Lille · Ligue 11–1
Lille — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 13–1
Olympique de Marseille — Lille · Ligue 10–0
Lille — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–1
Olympique de Marseille — Lille · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lille favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lille32 matchesOlympique de Marseille32 matches
1.56 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 2.09 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.38 goals/match
1.6 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.83 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.1 shots/match
4.97 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.94 shots/match
57.2%Possession32/32● 64%
4.72 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.09 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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