PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

RC Strasbourg 2–3 Le Havre · Ligue 1

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 2–3.

Shots
610
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.462.46
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat RC Strasbourg 3–2. Recorded in this match (RC Strasbourg – Le Havre): shots 6–10, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.46–2.46, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots10 shotsRC Strasbourg 6 shots, Le Havre 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsRC Strasbourg 4 shots, Le Havre 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG2.46 xGRC Strasbourg 1.46 xG, Le Havre 2.46 xG
  • Possession50%50%RC Strasbourg 50%, Le Havre 50%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRC Strasbourg 4 corners, Le Havre 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls8 foulsRC Strasbourg 18 fouls, Le Havre 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Étienne Youte Kinkoue · Le Havre · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Hassan · Le Havre · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiego Moreira · RC Strasbourg · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRassoul Ndiaye · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 29′ · 0.05 xG · on targetIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHabib Diarra · RC Strasbourg · 85′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedAndrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 20′ · 0.23 xG · goalIssa Soumaré · Le Havre · 29′ · 0.27 xG · on targetJosué Casimir · Le Havre · 70′ · 0.46 xG · goalSebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 53′ · 0.51 xG · goalSékou Mara · RC Strasbourg · 17′ · 0.61 xG · on targetAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 43′ · 0.82 xG · goalAbdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RC Strasbourg: 6 shots, 4 on target, 1.66 xG. Le Havre: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Andrey Santos · RC Strasbourg · 20′Sebastian Nanasi · RC Strasbourg · 53′Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 43′Josué Casimir · Le Havre · 70′Abdoulaye Touré · Le Havre · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RC Strasbourg 1.66 xG · Le Havre 2.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RC Strasbourg
0Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 10–3
Le Havre — RC Strasbourg · Ligue 13–1
RC Strasbourg — Le Havre · Ligue 12–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RC Strasbourg favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RC Strasbourg34 matchesLe Havre34 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/341.18 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/342.09 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.29 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots33/3310.4 shots/match
4.27 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.39 shots/match
49.8% ●Possession33/3342.6%
4.15 corners/match ●Corners33/333.91 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRC StrasbourgLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headRC Strasbourg — Le Havre
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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