PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 2–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.390.87
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat SC Freiburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bayer 04 Leverkusen – SC Freiburg): shots 18–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.39–0.87, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SC Freiburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.1 shots/match ▲ShotsBayer 04 Leverkusen · SC Freiburg12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBayer 04 LeverkusenSC FreiburgBaseline
Shots17.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match15.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SC Freiburg have a visible away split

moderate

SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 18 shots, SC Freiburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsBayer 04 Leverkusen 4 shots, SC Freiburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.39 xG0.87 xGBayer 04 Leverkusen 1.39 xG, SC Freiburg 0.87 xG
  • Possession71%29%Bayer 04 Leverkusen 71%, SC Freiburg 29%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersBayer 04 Leverkusen 11 corners, SC Freiburg 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsBayer 04 Leverkusen 9 fouls, SC Freiburg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Granit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGranit Xhaka · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Tah · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 7′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMerlin Röhl · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKiliann Sildillia · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKiliann Sildillia · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedExequiel Palacios · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′ · 0.08 xG · goalFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 50′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 83′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.10 xG · goalFlorian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 74′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 35′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedVictor Okoh Boniface · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 21′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 66′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEdmond Tapsoba · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 45′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedManuel Gulde · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.36 xG. SC Freiburg: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.87 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Florian Wirtz · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′Jonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 60′Manuel Gulde · SC Freiburg · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.36 xG · SC Freiburg 0.87 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1Draws
2SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga2–1
SC Freiburg — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bayer 04 Leverkusen favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen9 matchesSC Freiburg9 matches
3 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/91.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.78 goals/match
2.27 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.35 xG/match
17.1 shots/match ▲Shots9/912.4 shots/match
7.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match
60.6% ●Possession9/945.9%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners9/93.56 corners/match
9.56 fouls/matchFouls9/99.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBayer 04 LeverkusenSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBayer 04 Leverkusen — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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