PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 1–1 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig and SV Werder Bremen drew 1–1.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.441.05
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig and SV Werder Bremen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – SV Werder Bremen): shots 13–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.44–1.05, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.33 goals/match1.44 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · SV Werder Bremen11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match11.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match15.4 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.6% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · SV Werder Bremen46.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession55.6%46.9%47%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsRB Leipzig 13 shots, SV Werder Bremen 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsRB Leipzig 5 shots, SV Werder Bremen 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG1.05 xGRB Leipzig 1.44 xG, SV Werder Bremen 1.05 xG
  • Possession44%56%RB Leipzig 44%, SV Werder Bremen 56%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersRB Leipzig 4 corners, SV Werder Bremen 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsRB Leipzig 11 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RB Leipzig
1Draws
0SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–1
RB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig33 matchesSV Werder Bremen33 matches
2.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.33 goals/match
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.61 goals/match
1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.34 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots33/3311.7 shots/match
6.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.64 shots/match
55.6% ●Possession33/3346.9%
5.97 corners/match ●Corners33/333.39 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls33/3311.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 May 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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