Serie A · 2023

Lecce 1–0 Genoa · Serie A

Lecce

WDWD
1–0Historical match

Genoa

LWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 1–0.

Shots
188
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.90.32
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Genoa 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Genoa): shots 18–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.9–0.32, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce have a visible home split

weak

Lecce's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.3 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Genoa show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Genoa's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Genoa6.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceGenoaBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match6.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lecce have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.6% ●PossessionLecce · Genoa35.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLecceGenoaBaseline
Possession45.6%35.4%49.1%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsLecce 18 shots, Genoa 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotLecce 3 shots, Genoa 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.9 xG0.32 xGLecce 0.9 xG, Genoa 0.32 xG
  • Possession56%44%Lecce 56%, Genoa 44%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersLecce 4 corners, Genoa 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsLecce 12 fouls, Genoa 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mattia Bani · Genoa · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMorten Frendrup · Genoa · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 38′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMilan Badelj · Genoa · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRuslan Malinovskyi · Genoa · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRadu Drăguşin · Genoa · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 83′ · 0.04 xG · goalPontus Almqvist · Lecce · 65′ · 0.05 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 11′ · 0.06 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Ekuban · Genoa · 90′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlbert Guðmundsson · Genoa · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 48′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 22′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 18 shots, 3 on target, 0.89 xG. Genoa: 8 shots, 1 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Rémi Oudin · Lecce · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.89 xG · Genoa 0.31 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Genoa in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce5 matchesGenoa5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.06 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.49 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/56.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.2 shots/match
45.6% ●Possession5/535.4%
3.8 corners/match ●Corners5/52 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls5/512.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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