PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Juventus 1–0 Lecce · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Lecce

WDWDW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–0.

Shots
152
Shots on target
50
Expected goals
1.440.05
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Lecce 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Lecce): shots 15–2, shots on target 5–0, expected goals 1.44–0.05, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce have a visible away split

weak

Lecce's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots4 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventus, Lecce.

3.11 days ▲Rest daysJuventus · Lecce4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventusLecceBaseline
Rest days3.11 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lecce's recent record differs from the season

weak

Lecce's last-five shots average is below their season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.2 shots/match11.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots2 shotsJuventus 15 shots, Lecce 2 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots0 shotsJuventus 5 shots, Lecce 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG0.05 xGJuventus 1.44 xG, Lecce 0.05 xG
  • Possession51%49%Juventus 51%, Lecce 49%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerJuventus 5 corners, Lecce 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsJuventus 14 fouls, Lecce 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Adrien Rabiot · Juventus · 1′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 7′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 41′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 22′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNikola Krstović · Lecce · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFilip Kostić · Juventus · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarin Pongračić · Lecce · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 2′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 27′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedArkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 57′ · 0.96 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 15 shots, 5 on target, 1.46 xG. Lecce: 2 shots, 0 on target, 0.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Arkadiusz Milik · Juventus · 57′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 1.46 xG · Lecce 0.05 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Juventus
0Draws
0Lecce
Juventus — Lecce · Serie A2–1
Lecce — Juventus · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Lecce in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus6 matchesLecce6 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.9 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.2 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/63.5 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession6/646.2%
5.17 corners/match ●Corners6/63.33 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls6/613.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Sept 2023, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusLecce
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headJuventus — Lecce
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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