Serie A · 2023

Empoli 1–0 Salernitana · Serie A

Empoli

LLLLL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Empoli won 1–0.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
3.220.62
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Empoli beat Salernitana 1–0. Recorded in this match (Empoli – Salernitana): shots 13–14, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 3.22–0.62, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Empoli.

3.25 days ▲Rest daysEmpoli · Salernitana5 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricEmpoliSalernitanaBaseline
Rest days3.25 days5 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Salernitana have a visible away split

weak

Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.33 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.33 shots/match11.7 shots/match11.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsEmpoli 13 shots, Salernitana 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsEmpoli 6 shots, Salernitana 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.22 xG0.62 xGEmpoli 3.22 xG, Salernitana 0.62 xG
  • Possession40%60%Empoli 40%, Salernitana 60%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersEmpoli 10 corners, Salernitana 2 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls13 foulsEmpoli 18 fouls, Salernitana 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Agustín Martegani · Salernitana · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Walukiewicz · Empoli · 19′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEmil Bohinen · Salernitana · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSebastiano Luperto · Empoli · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 87′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRăzvan Marin · Empoli · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJacopo Fazzini · Empoli · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAlberto Grassi · Empoli · 19′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedStiven Shpendi · Empoli · 63′ · 0.09 xG · on targetDomagoj Bradarić · Salernitana · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErik Botheim · Salernitana · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Cancellieri · Empoli · 18′ · 0.18 xG · on targetYoussef Maleh · Empoli · 45′ · 0.42 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Gyasi · Empoli · 78′ · 0.59 xG · on targetTommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 23′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedTommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 34′ · 0.85 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Empoli: 13 shots, 6 on target, 3.26 xG. Salernitana: 14 shots, 2 on target, 0.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Tommaso Baldanzi · Empoli · 34′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Empoli 3.26 xG · Salernitana 0.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Empoli
2Draws
0Salernitana
Empoli — Salernitana · Serie A2–1
Salernitana — Empoli · Serie A2–2
Empoli — Salernitana · Serie A1–1
Salernitana — Empoli · Serie A2–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Empoli favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Salernitana in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Empoli6 matchesSalernitana6 matches
0.17 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
2.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/60.7 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 11.7 shots/match
3.17 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 3.67 shots/match
44.8%Possession6/6● 52.7%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners6/64 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls6/612.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Sept 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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