PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Monza 3–0 Salernitana · Serie A

Monza

LDDDW
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Monza won 3–0.

Shots
168
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
2.980.58
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Monza beat Salernitana 3–0. Recorded in this match (Monza – Salernitana): shots 16–8, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 2.98–0.58, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.5 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Monza show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Monza's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Salernitana11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaSalernitanaBaseline
Shots15 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match14 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Salernitana have a visible away split

weak

Salernitana's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match11.3 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsMonza 16 shots, Salernitana 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsMonza 7 shots, Salernitana 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.98 xG0.58 xGMonza 2.98 xG, Salernitana 0.58 xG
  • Possession58%42%Monza 58%, Salernitana 42%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersMonza 7 corners, Salernitana 7 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls16 foulsMonza 8 fouls, Salernitana 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Antonio Candreva · Salernitana · 21′ · 0.01 xG · on targetJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 51′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 74′ · 0.01 xG · on targetPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 17′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLorenzo Pirola · Salernitana · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJovane Cabral · Salernitana · 5′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 37′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 9′ · 0.08 xG · goalLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPatrick Ciurria · Monza · 44′ · 0.09 xG · on targetMatteo Pessina · Monza · 78′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSamuele Vignato · Monza · 18′ · 0.10 xG · goalLorenzo Pirola · Salernitana · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Salernitana · 73′ · 0.15 xG · on targetRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 90′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedWarren Bondo · Monza · 80′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedBoulaye Dia · Salernitana · 74′ · 0.23 xG · on targetSamuele Vignato · Monza · 25′ · 0.46 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 76′ · 0.68 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Pessina · Monza · 82′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 16 shots, 7 on target, 3.02 xG. Salernitana: 8 shots, 5 on target, 0.59 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Andrea Colpani · Monza · 9′Samuele Vignato · Monza · 18′Matteo Pessina · Monza · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 3.02 xG · Salernitana 0.59 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Monza
0Draws
1Salernitana
Salernitana — Monza · Serie A3–0
Monza — Salernitana · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Salernitana in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza8 matchesSalernitana8 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored8/80.5 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.13 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.67 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.3 shots/match
4.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.75 shots/match
55% ●Possession8/849.3%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners8/84.25 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls8/812.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 14:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaSalernitana
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headMonza — Salernitana
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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