PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Frosinone 2–1 Hellas Verona · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Frosinone won 2–1.

Shots
1116
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
1.770.85
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Frosinone beat Hellas Verona 2–1. Recorded in this match (Frosinone – Hellas Verona): shots 11–16, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 1.77–0.85, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Hellas Verona's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Hellas Verona's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.63 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots16 shotsFrosinone 11 shots, Hellas Verona 16 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsFrosinone 2 shots, Hellas Verona 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.77 xG0.85 xGFrosinone 1.77 xG, Hellas Verona 0.85 xG
  • Possession53%47%Frosinone 53%, Hellas Verona 47%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersFrosinone 2 corners, Hellas Verona 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls12 foulsFrosinone 8 fouls, Hellas Verona 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Bruno Amione · Hellas Verona · 66′ · 0.00 xG · on targetCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSuat Serdar · Hellas Verona · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFilippo Terracciano · Hellas Verona · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Hellas Verona · 84′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLuca Mazzitelli · Frosinone · 29′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMilan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.03 xG · goalMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTomáš Suslov · Hellas Verona · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 66′ · 0.06 xG · goalMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFederico Bonazzoli · Hellas Verona · 89′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 34′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMichael Folorunsho · Hellas Verona · 44′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedFilippo Terracciano · Hellas Verona · 52′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDarko Lazović · Hellas Verona · 73′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCyril Ngonge · Hellas Verona · 48′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 61′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 57′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedReinier · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.40 xG · goalIlario Monterisi · Frosinone · 3′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Frosinone: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.84 xG. Hellas Verona: 16 shots, 4 on target, 0.84 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Reinier · Frosinone · 45′Matías Soulé · Frosinone · 66′Milan Đurić · Hellas Verona · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Frosinone 1.84 xG · Hellas Verona 0.84 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Frosinone favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Hellas Verona in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Frosinone8 matchesHellas Verona8 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.63 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/80.56 xG/match
10.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/89.63 shots/match
2.75 shots/matchShots on target8/82.63 shots/match
49.9% ●Possession8/845.3%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners8/82.63 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls8/813.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFrosinoneHellas Verona
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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