Serie A · 2023Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 17:00 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

Atalanta

LWWLD

1–2Full-time recap

Napoli

LWDWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	Atalanta	Napoli
Shots	16 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	5 shots/match▲	4 shots/match
Expected goals	1 xG/match	2.16 xG/match▲
Possession	44%	56%●
Corners	5 corners/match●	4 corners/match
Fouls	15 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

Atalanta: 16 shots, 5 on target, 0.98 xG. Napoli: 11 shots, 3 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Atalanta 0.98 xG · Napoli 2.35 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. A second useful context is: Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.85 corners/matchCornersAtalanta · Napoli●6.69 corners/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric	Atalanta	Napoli	Baseline
Corners	5.85 corners/match	6.69 corners/match	4.88 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match▲ShotsAtalanta · Napoli17.9 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	Atalanta	Napoli	Baseline
Shots	13.6 shots/match	17.9 shots/match	12.2 shots/match
Shots against	11 shots/match	10.1 shots/match	12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Atalanta

0Draws

3Napoli

11 Mar 2023Napoli — Atalanta · Serie A2–0

5 Nov 2022Atalanta — Napoli · Serie A1–2

3 Apr 2022Atalanta — Napoli · Serie A1–3

4 Dec 2021Napoli — Atalanta · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

Atalanta favored in 3 of 13 directional metrics · Napoli in 5 · 5 too close

1.62 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 13/13▲2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 13/131.08 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 13/13▲1.96 xG/match

0.92 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 13/130.88 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 13/13▲17.9 shots/match

11 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 13/13▲10.1 shots/match

4.85 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 13/13▲6 shots/match

3.46 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 13/133.46 shots/match

52.8%Possessionseason · 13/13●58.6%

5.85 corners/matchCornersseason · 13/13●6.69 corners/match

4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 13/134.15 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 13/1310.2 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

54%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 13/1331%

92%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 13/1385%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Atalanta62.5

Napoli97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Atalanta79.2

Napoli95.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Atalanta73.3

Napoli77.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Atalanta62.5

Napoli87.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Atalanta97.5

Napoli7.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Atalanta87.5

Napoli97.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Atalanta85.6

Napoli75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

Atalanta13 matchesNapoli13 matches

1.62 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲2 goals/match

1 goals/match▲Goals allowed13/131.08 goals/match

1.22 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲1.96 xG/match

13.6 shots/matchShots13/13▲17.9 shots/match

4.85 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲6 shots/match

52.8%Possession13/13●58.6%

5.85 corners/matchCorners13/13●6.69 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

Atalanta6 matchesNapoli7 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/7▲2.29 goals/match

0.67 goals/match▲Goals allowed6/70.71 goals/match

1.27 xG/matchExpected goals6/7▲1.84 xG/match

14.3 shots/matchShots6/7▲16 shots/match

5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/7▲6.29 shots/match

50.8%Possession6/7●57.1%

6.33 corners/match●Corners6/75.71 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

12.5 fouls/matchFouls6/710.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.1 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples13 / 13home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4