Serie A · 2023

Salernitana 2–1 Lazio · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Lazio

WWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Salernitana won 2–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.751.98
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Salernitana beat Lazio 2–1. Recorded in this match (Salernitana – Lazio): shots 13–13, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.75–1.98, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Salernitana's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Salernitana's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.77 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Salernitana have a visible home split

moderate

Salernitana's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsSalernitana 13 shots, Lazio 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsSalernitana 6 shots, Lazio 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.75 xG1.98 xGSalernitana 1.75 xG, Lazio 1.98 xG
  • Possession38%62%Salernitana 38%, Lazio 62%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersSalernitana 4 corners, Lazio 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsSalernitana 11 fouls, Lazio 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Emil Bohinen · Salernitana · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 66′ · 0.02 xG · goalGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElseid Hysaj · Lazio · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMario Gila Fuentes · Lazio · 30′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLorenzo Pirola · Salernitana · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 32′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 49′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlavius Daniliuc · Salernitana · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattéo Guendouzi · Lazio · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Anderson · Lazio · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGiulio Maggiore · Salernitana · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 86′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedManuel Lazzari · Lazio · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDaichi Kamada · Lazio · 63′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMattia Zaccagni · Lazio · 60′ · 0.65 xG · off target or blockedGrigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 55′ · 0.70 xG · goalAntonio Candreva · Salernitana · 59′ · 0.70 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Lazio · 43′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Salernitana: 13 shots, 6 on target, 1.77 xG. Lazio: 13 shots, 2 on target, 2.01 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Grigoris Kastanos · Salernitana · 55′Antonio Candreva · Salernitana · 66′Ciro Immobile · Lazio · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Salernitana 1.77 xG · Lazio 2.01 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Salernitana
0Draws
3Lazio
Salernitana — Lazio · Serie A0–2
Lazio — Salernitana · Serie A1–3
Salernitana — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Lazio — Salernitana · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Salernitana favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Lazio in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Salernitana13 matchesLazio13 matches
0.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.92 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1.15 goals/match
0.8 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.19 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots13/1311.3 shots/match
3.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.08 shots/match
46.6%Possession13/13● 52.1%
4.15 corners/matchCorners13/13● 4.92 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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