PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Juventus 1–1 Inter · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Inter

DWWWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus and Inter drew 1–1.

Shots
48
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.440.86
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus and Inter drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Juventus – Inter): shots 4–8, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.44–0.86, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventus's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventus's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible home split

moderate

Juventus's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Inter show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Inter's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventus · Inter16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventusInterBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match9.15 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots8 shotsJuventus 4 shots, Inter 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsJuventus 1 shot, Inter 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.44 xG0.86 xGJuventus 0.44 xG, Inter 0.86 xG
  • Possession35%65%Juventus 35%, Inter 65%
  • Corners1 corner0 cornersJuventus 1 corner, Inter 0 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls13 foulsJuventus 12 fouls, Inter 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Federico Gatti · Juventus · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHakan Çalhanoğlu · Inter · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Cambiaso · Juventus · 1′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolò Barella · Inter · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLautaro Martínez · Inter · 18′ · 0.08 xG · on targetMarcus Thuram · Inter · 4′ · 0.10 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 15′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 27′ · 0.25 xG · goalLautaro Martínez · Inter · 33′ · 0.26 xG · goalMarcus Thuram · Inter · 50′ · 0.28 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Juventus: 4 shots, 1 on target, 0.42 xG. Inter: 8 shots, 4 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Dušan Vlahović · Juventus · 27′Lautaro Martínez · Inter · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Juventus 0.42 xG · Inter 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Juventus
1Draws
1Inter
Inter — Juventus · Serie A0–1
Juventus — Inter · Serie A2–0
Juventus — Inter · Serie A0–1
Inter — Juventus · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventus favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Inter in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventus13 matchesInter13 matches
1.54 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 2.31 goals/match
0.62 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.54 goals/match
1.59 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.99 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 16.3 shots/match
4.08 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5 shots/match
47.7%Possession13/13● 55.5%
4.85 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.15 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventusInter
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headJuventus — Inter
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required