PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Monza 1–2 Juventus · Serie A

Monza

LDWDD
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventus won 1–2.

Shots
1618
Shots on target
17
Expected goals
0.762.6
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventus beat Monza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Monza – Juventus): shots 16–18, shots on target 1–7, expected goals 0.76–2.6, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Monza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Monza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventus have a visible away split

moderate

Juventus's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Juventus show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Juventus's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsMonza · Juventus14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMonzaJuventusBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots18 shotsMonza 16 shots, Juventus 18 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot7 shotsMonza 1 shot, Juventus 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.76 xG2.6 xGMonza 0.76 xG, Juventus 2.6 xG
  • Possession66%34%Monza 66%, Juventus 34%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersMonza 7 corners, Juventus 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsMonza 12 fouls, Juventus 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Andrea Colpani · Monza · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHans Nicolussi Caviglia · Juventus · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 85′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedValentín Carboni · Monza · 90′ · 0.01 xG · goalWeston McKennie · Juventus · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Colpani · Monza · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Sandro · Juventus · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFilip Kostić · Juventus · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Gagliardini · Monza · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedValentín Carboni · Monza · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 26′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 27′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Pessina · Monza · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPablo Marí · Monza · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 63′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWeston McKennie · Juventus · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 79′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 81′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDany Mota · Monza · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWeston McKennie · Juventus · 84′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFederico Chiesa · Juventus · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 79′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 12′ · 0.09 xG · goalAdrien Rabiot · Juventus · 35′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLorenzo Colombo · Monza · 53′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDanilo D'Ambrosio · Monza · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedFederico Gatti · Juventus · 90′ · 0.51 xG · goalFederico Gatti · Juventus · 33′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 11′ · 0.61 xG · on targetDušan Vlahović · Juventus · 11′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Monza: 16 shots, 1 on target, 0.77 xG. Juventus: 18 shots, 7 on target, 3.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Valentín Carboni · Monza · 90′Adrien Rabiot · Juventus · 12′Federico Gatti · Juventus · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Monza 0.77 xG · Juventus 3.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Monza
0Draws
0Juventus
Juventus — Monza · Serie A0–2
Monza — Juventus · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Monza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Juventus in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Monza14 matchesJuventus14 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.57 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.64 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.66 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots14/1414.1 shots/match
4.07 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.29 shots/match
55.3% ●Possession14/1446.7%
6.07 corners/match ●Corners14/144.71 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMonzaJuventus
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headMonza — Juventus
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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