PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lazio 1–0 Cagliari · Serie A

Lazio

WWLDL
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lazio won 1–0.

Shots
109
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.950.56
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lazio beat Cagliari 1–0. Recorded in this match (Lazio – Cagliari): shots 10–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.95–0.56, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cagliari's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cagliari's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.14 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.14 shots/match12.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Lazio have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.7% ●PossessionLazio · Cagliari42.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLazioCagliariBaseline
Possession52.7%42.1%51.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots9 shotsLazio 10 shots, Cagliari 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsLazio 5 shots, Cagliari 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.95 xG0.56 xGLazio 1.95 xG, Cagliari 0.56 xG
  • Possession61%39%Lazio 61%, Cagliari 39%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersLazio 4 corners, Cagliari 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls12 foulsLazio 11 fouls, Cagliari 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matteo Prati · Cagliari · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPaulo Azzi · Cagliari · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Viola · Cagliari · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAndrea Petagna · Cagliari · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDanilo Cataldi · Lazio · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGustav Isaksen · Lazio · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLuis Alberto · Lazio · 13′ · 0.07 xG · on targetCiro Immobile · Lazio · 51′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGianluca Lapadula · Cagliari · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCiro Immobile · Lazio · 36′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.11 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 74′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedGaetano Oristanio · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedPedro · Lazio · 23′ · 0.30 xG · on targetValentín Castellanos · Lazio · 71′ · 0.40 xG · on targetPedro · Lazio · 8′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lazio: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.89 xG. Cagliari: 9 shots, 2 on target, 0.56 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Pedro · Lazio · 8′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lazio 1.89 xG · Cagliari 0.56 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lazio
1Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Lazio · Serie A0–3
Lazio — Cagliari · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lazio favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lazio14 matchesCagliari14 matches
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.86 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.15 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target14/143.14 shots/match
52.7% ●Possession14/1442.1%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners14/144.07 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLazioCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLazio — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required