Serie A · 2023

Milan 3–1 Frosinone · Serie A

Milan

LDLDW
3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Milan won 3–1.

Shots
1015
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.170.72
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Milan beat Frosinone 3–1. Recorded in this match (Milan – Frosinone): shots 10–15, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.17–0.72, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Milan show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Milan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsMilan · Frosinone11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMilanFrosinoneBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.6 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots15 shotsMilan 10 shots, Frosinone 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsMilan 3 shots, Frosinone 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.72 xGMilan 1.17 xG, Frosinone 0.72 xG
  • Possession47%53%Milan 47%, Frosinone 53%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersMilan 6 corners, Frosinone 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls6 foulsMilan 11 fouls, Frosinone 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Reinier · Frosinone · 14′ · 0.01 xG · on targetArijon Ibrahimović · Frosinone · 42′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Frosinone · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · Frosinone · 27′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Oyono · Frosinone · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYunus Musah · Milan · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCaleb Okoli · Frosinone · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Florenzi · Milan · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Çuni · Frosinone · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Çuni · Frosinone · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 82′ · 0.03 xG · goalSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSimone Romagnoli · Frosinone · 62′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Chukwueze · Milan · 48′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTijjani Reijnders · Milan · 24′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuka Jović · Milan · 43′ · 0.17 xG · goalChristian Pulišić · Milan · 50′ · 0.26 xG · goalMarvin Çuni · Frosinone · 42′ · 0.30 xG · on targetFikayo Tomori · Milan · 74′ · 0.37 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Milan: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.16 xG. Frosinone: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Luka Jović · Milan · 43′Christian Pulišić · Milan · 50′Fikayo Tomori · Milan · 74′Marco Brescianini · Frosinone · 82′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Milan 1.16 xG · Frosinone 0.73 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Milan favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Frosinone in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Milan14 matchesFrosinone14 matches
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.43 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.71 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.15 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots14/1411.4 shots/match
4.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.5 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession14/1451.8%
4.29 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.14 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls14/149.64 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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