PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Bologna 2–0 Torino · Serie A

Bologna

DWDWL
2–0Historical match

Torino

LLWWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bologna won 2–0.

Shots
139
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.550.45
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bologna beat Torino 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bologna – Torino): shots 13–9, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.55–0.45, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bologna's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bologna's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots9 shotsBologna 13 shots, Torino 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBologna 2 shots, Torino 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG0.45 xGBologna 1.55 xG, Torino 0.45 xG
  • Possession49%51%Bologna 49%, Torino 51%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersBologna 3 corners, Torino 2 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsBologna 16 fouls, Torino 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 2′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDuván Zapata · Torino · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Saelemaekers · Bologna · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 25′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAlessandro Buongiorno · Torino · 32′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 54′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · Bologna · 63′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGvidas Gineitis · Torino · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetSam Beukema · Bologna · 55′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 54′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 35′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalGiovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 56′ · 0.63 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Bologna: 13 shots, 2 on target, 1.51 xG. Torino: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Giovanni Fabbian · Bologna · 56′Joshua Zirkzee · Bologna · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Bologna 1.51 xG · Torino 0.43 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bologna
1Draws
2Torino
Torino — Bologna · Serie A1–0
Bologna — Torino · Serie A2–1
Bologna — Torino · Serie A0–0
Torino — Bologna · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bologna favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Torino in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bologna13 matchesTorino13 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/130.77 goals/match
0.77 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/131.23 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/130.93 xG/match
11.2 shots/match ▲Shots13/1310.5 shots/match
4.46 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.08 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession13/1350.8%
3.62 corners/matchCorners13/13● 3.92 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 27 Nov 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBolognaTorino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headBologna — Torino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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