PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lecce 1–1 Bologna · Serie A

Lecce

DLLDD
1–1Historical match

Bologna

WDWLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce and Bologna drew 1–1.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.551.24
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce and Bologna drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Bologna): shots 14–11, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.55–1.24, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lecce have a visible home split

moderate

Lecce's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsLecce 14 shots, Bologna 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsLecce 4 shots, Bologna 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.55 xG1.24 xGLecce 1.55 xG, Bologna 1.24 xG
  • Possession42%58%Lecce 42%, Bologna 58%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersLecce 6 corners, Bologna 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls18 foulsLecce 12 fouls, Bologna 18 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Joan González · Lecce · 24′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSydney van Hooijdonk · Bologna · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Blin · Lecce · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRémi Oudin · Lecce · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKacper Urbański · Bologna · 89′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNicola Sansone · Lecce · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Dorgu · Lecce · 3′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLameck Banda · Lecce · 36′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHamza Rafia · Lecce · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 79′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 4′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 10′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDan Ndoye · Bologna · 40′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSydney van Hooijdonk · Bologna · 47′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 38′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedStefan Posch · Bologna · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 68′ · 0.08 xG · goalDan Ndoye · Bologna · 76′ · 0.13 xG · on targetLewis Ferguson · Bologna · 76′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedJoan González · Lecce · 31′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedCharalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 70′ · 0.53 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.59 xG. Bologna: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Roberto Piccoli · Lecce · 90′Charalampos Lykogiannis · Bologna · 68′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 1.59 xG · Bologna 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Lecce
0Draws
2Bologna
Lecce — Bologna · Serie A2–3
Bologna — Lecce · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bologna in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce14 matchesBologna14 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored14/141.14 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 0.79 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.2 xG/match
12.5 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.2 shots/match
3.86 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.43 shots/match
46.1%Possession14/14● 53.9%
3.64 corners/match ●Corners14/143.57 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Dec 2023, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceBologna
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLecce — Bologna
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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