Serie A · 2023

Torino 3–0 Atalanta · Serie A

Torino

LWWDL
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Torino won 3–0.

Shots
910
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.690.46
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Torino beat Atalanta 3–0. Recorded in this match (Torino – Atalanta): shots 9–10, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.69–0.46, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Torino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Torino's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Torino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Torino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsTorino · Atalanta13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTorinoAtalantaBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match10.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shotsTorino 9 shots, Atalanta 10 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsTorino 5 shots, Atalanta 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG0.46 xGTorino 1.69 xG, Atalanta 0.46 xG
  • Possession54%46%Torino 54%, Atalanta 46%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersTorino 4 corners, Atalanta 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsTorino 12 fouls, Atalanta 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Hans Hateboer · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Muriel · Atalanta · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 82′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuis Muriel · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMërgim Vojvoda · Torino · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTeun Koopmeiners · Atalanta · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAdrien Tameze · Torino · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Vlašić · Torino · 18′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIvan Ilić · Torino · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedÉderson · Atalanta · 24′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Ruggeri · Atalanta · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRaoul Bellanova · Torino · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ilić · Torino · 76′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCharles De Ketelaere · Atalanta · 29′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMario Pašalić · Atalanta · 80′ · 0.10 xG · on targetAleksey Miranchuk · Atalanta · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDuván Zapata · Torino · 90′ · 0.14 xG · goalDuván Zapata · Torino · 22′ · 0.59 xG · goalAntonio Sanabria · Torino · 56′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Torino: 9 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG. Atalanta: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.46 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Duván Zapata · Torino · 22′Antonio Sanabria · Torino · 56′Duván Zapata · Torino · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Torino 1.73 xG · Atalanta 0.46 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Torino
1Draws
3Atalanta
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A1–2
Atalanta — Torino · Serie A3–1
Atalanta — Torino · Serie A4–4
Torino — Atalanta · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Torino favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atalanta in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Torino14 matchesAtalanta14 matches
0.93 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/141.14 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.17 xG/match
10.4 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.21 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 4.79 shots/match
51%Possession14/14● 52.3%
3.93 corners/matchCorners14/14● 5.64 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Dec 2023, 23:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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