PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Napoli 2–1 Cagliari · Serie A

Napoli

WLWLL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Napoli won 2–1.

Shots
219
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
1.861.12
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Napoli beat Cagliari 2–1. Recorded in this match (Napoli – Cagliari): shots 21–9, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 1.86–1.12, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Napoli's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Napoli's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.75 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cagliari have a visible away split

moderate

Cagliari's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.13 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.13 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Napoli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Napoli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsNapoli · Cagliari12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNapoliCagliariBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against10.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsNapoli 21 shots, Cagliari 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsNapoli 5 shots, Cagliari 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.86 xG1.12 xGNapoli 1.86 xG, Cagliari 1.12 xG
  • Possession67%33%Napoli 67%, Cagliari 33%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersNapoli 5 corners, Cagliari 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsNapoli 9 fouls, Cagliari 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Victor Osimhen · Napoli · 8′ · 0.01 xG · on targetTommaso Augello · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 22′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZito Luvumbo · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 14′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Di Lorenzo · Napoli · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNatan · Napoli · 44′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAdam Obert · Cagliari · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetMatteo Prati · Cagliari · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 16′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 10′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens-Lys Cajuste · Napoli · 34′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJens-Lys Cajuste · Napoli · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatteo Politano · Napoli · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrank Anguissa · Napoli · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 69′ · 0.09 xG · goalGiacomo Raspadori · Napoli · 84′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAmir Rrahmani · Napoli · 29′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Napoli · 18′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 38′ · 0.18 xG · on targetAlberto Dossena · Cagliari · 89′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 30′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedKhvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 75′ · 0.28 xG · goalLeonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 72′ · 0.33 xG · goalNahitan Nández · Cagliari · 43′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Napoli: 21 shots, 5 on target, 1.86 xG. Cagliari: 9 shots, 3 on target, 1.11 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Victor Osimhen · Napoli · 69′Khvicha Kvaratskhelia · Napoli · 75′Leonardo Pavoletti · Cagliari · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Napoli 1.86 xG · Cagliari 1.11 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Napoli
1Draws
0Cagliari
Cagliari — Napoli · Serie A1–1
Napoli — Cagliari · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Napoli favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cagliari in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Napoli16 matchesCagliari16 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161 goal/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.81 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals16/161.15 xG/match
17.6 shots/match ▲Shots16/1612.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.31 shots/match
59.5% ●Possession16/1642.7%
6.5 corners/match ●Corners16/164.38 corners/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNapoliCagliari
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headNapoli — Cagliari
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required