PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Lecce 2–1 Frosinone · Serie A

Lecce

LDDDD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lecce won 2–1.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.661.73
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lecce beat Frosinone 2–1. Recorded in this match (Lecce – Frosinone): shots 17–11, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.66–1.73, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Frosinone's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Frosinone's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lecce have a visible home split

moderate

Lecce's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Lecce show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Lecce's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.9 shots/match ▲ShotsLecce · Frosinone11.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLecceFrosinoneBaseline
Shots12.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against13.4 shots/match15.9 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsLecce 17 shots, Frosinone 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsLecce 6 shots, Frosinone 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.73 xGLecce 0.66 xG, Frosinone 1.73 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lecce 40%, Frosinone 60%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersLecce 5 corners, Frosinone 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsLecce 8 fouls, Frosinone 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Lameck Banda · Lecce · 14′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 89′ · 0.01 xG · goalYlber Ramadani · Lecce · 5′ · 0.02 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 67′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAntonino Gallo · Lecce · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNikola Krstović · Lecce · 88′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 11′ · 0.03 xG · goalMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 25′ · 0.03 xG · on targetGabriel Strefezza · Lecce · 50′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRémi Oudin · Lecce · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarin Pongračić · Lecce · 79′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · Frosinone · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 72′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArijon Ibrahimović · Frosinone · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Brescianini · Frosinone · 29′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 78′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedValentin Gendrey · Lecce · 60′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRoberto Piccoli · Lecce · 80′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAbdou Harroui · Frosinone · 82′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLameck Banda · Lecce · 42′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedWalid Cheddira · Frosinone · 90′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMatías Soulé · Frosinone · 62′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 55′ · 0.20 xG · on targetKaio Jorge · Frosinone · 33′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Lecce: 17 shots, 6 on target, 0.67 xG. Frosinone: 11 shots, 5 on target, 1.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Roberto Piccoli · Lecce · 11′Ylber Ramadani · Lecce · 89′Kaio Jorge · Frosinone · 33′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lecce 0.67 xG · Frosinone 1.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Lecce
1Draws
0Frosinone
Lecce — Frosinone · Serie B1–0
Frosinone — Lecce · Serie B0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lecce favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Frosinone in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lecce16 matchesFrosinone16 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.31 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.63 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.16 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots16/1611.3 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/163.69 shots/match
45.7%Possession16/16● 52.3%
3.69 corners/matchCorners16/16● 4.94 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Dec 2023, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLecceFrosinone
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023/24
Head-to-headLecce — Frosinone
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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